Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd193aa05e0365accb8ace63e83a88d329e9193b028484dae17c5aa4319d2f686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 26,815$13,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,406.86 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…4df2backed Over | 51c | 13,706$6,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,925.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 8c | 3,901$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.74 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 50c | 3,846$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.43 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 3,460$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.85 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 2,233$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.63 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 2c | 1,722$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 1c | 1,677$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 1,161$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.12 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 1,034$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.14 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 50c | 815.39$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 658.58$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.94 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 514.17$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.27 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 51c | 469.26$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 457.26$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.88 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 447.09$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 20c | 437.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked Over | 51c | 435.47$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 18c | 265.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 51c | 249$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 50c | 238.53$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.27 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 55c | 236$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 68c | 206.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…5131backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Under | 51c | 164.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 49c | 125.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 51c | 94.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 51c | 90.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 50c | 89.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 51c | 68.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Over | 50c | 59.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 49c | 50.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 51c | 47.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Over | 45c | 42.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 51c | 39.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 51c | 38.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 56c | 35.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 51c | 30.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Under | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 52c | 28.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 27.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…150cbacked Under | 52c | 22.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 53c | 19.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 0.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.