Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcc1ba2da6e3ea97133162972dcd07d1f5f895c5cfd9d47cf1ba9d8734094be2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 49c | 2,601$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.61 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 51c | 2,601$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.61 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 1,063$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.51 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 856.78$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 54c | 599.98$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Over | 75c | 474.67$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 443.31$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 31c | 290$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 252$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 239$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 41c | 187.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 55c | 178.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 164.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 42c | 115.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfee…9841backed Under | 59c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d9…1cedbacked Over | 41c | 76.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 46c | 70.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Over | 76c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 75c | 63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 42c | 55.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 42c | 55.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 42c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 42c | 46.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 74c | 41.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 42c | 36.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0bd8backed Over | 44c | 36.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 42c | 36.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 0.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.