TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timofey Skatovof Timofey Skatov, Otto Virtanen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Otto Virtanen27c41,784$11,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,259.468,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Timofey Skatov69c21,499$14,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,61136145.2%163 W · 198 L-19.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Timofey Skatov61c15,533$9,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,007.834655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5455…8b2abacked Otto Virtanen47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70013239.4%52 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Otto Virtanen43c9,590$4,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,146.58,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Timofey Skatov55c8,282$4,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,765.846,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Otto Virtanen9c8,000$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.1539243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Timofey Skatov58c6,046$3,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.054,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Otto Virtanen30c5,672$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.134,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Otto Virtanen30c4,020$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.611,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Timofey Skatov42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74030339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Otto Virtanen58c2,857$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.1456651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Timofey Skatov73c2,637$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.582,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Timofey Skatov43c2,628$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.241,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7787…bf58backed Otto Virtanen25c2,600$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65014447.2%68 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Otto Virtanen29c2,266$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65054541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Timofey Skatov42c2,191$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.633037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Timofey Skatov69c1,889$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.233,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Timofey Skatov64c1,719$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.844,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Timofey Skatov73c1,712$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.3360053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Timofey Skatov68c1,603$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.3870254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Otto Virtanen58c1,577$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.7876146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Timofey Skatov41c1,525$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.6167239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Timofey Skatov37c1,338$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.841,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Timofey Skatov42c1,310$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.5270041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc76…8578backed Otto Virtanen47c1,287$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Otto Virtanen59c1,253$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.163,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Otto Virtanen58c1,250$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7251,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Otto Virtanen23c1,167$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.324,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Otto Virtanen44c1,147$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Timofey Skatov68c1,026$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.371,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Timofey Skatov62c985.18$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.111,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timofey Skatov71c971.1$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Timofey Skatov62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4512467.7%84 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Otto Virtanen26c798.12$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.442332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Timofey Skatov57c776.17$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.582,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Otto Virtanen45c742.69$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.734,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Timofey Skatov53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3299,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa004…a04fbacked Timofey Skatov42c678.1$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.315359.5%91 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc096…97b5backed Otto Virtanen60c626.5$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Otto Virtanen24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15051933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Timofey Skatov63c615.44$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9872147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf916…e770backed Timofey Skatov54c599.49$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.776750.7%34 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Otto Virtanen39c581.31$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.751,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Timofey Skatov73c523.5$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.22,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Timofey Skatov61c521$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.321,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Timofey Skatov53c509.87$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.412,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Timofey Skatov54c502.47$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4827139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Otto Virtanen25c501.19$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.852,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Otto Virtanen28c500.01$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14053644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f2…4c29backed Timofey Skatov38c499.98$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.998326.5%22 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Timofey Skatov42c494.38$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7422352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Otto Virtanen23c494.18$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3639446.7%184 W · 210 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca06…b26ebacked Otto Virtanen20c478.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.773414.7%5 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Timofey Skatov36c472.14$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.732,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Timofey Skatov61c457.9$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.376355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d4…8172backed Otto Virtanen22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994513.3%6 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Otto Virtanen15c400$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.568430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Timofey Skatov39c385.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.251,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Timofey Skatov41c382.1$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4417942.5%76 W · 103 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Otto Virtanen36c371.98$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.561,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Timofey Skatov69c365$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.615,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Otto Virtanen8c336.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1214848.6%72 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef1b…764fbacked Otto Virtanen7c335.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.978338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Otto Virtanen17c335.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5748144.5%214 W · 267 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Timofey Skatov45c332.3$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7639648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Timofey Skatov78c318.46$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0611372.6%82 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffe…a60fbacked Timofey Skatov80c314.98$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6316667.5%112 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Otto Virtanen32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Otto Virtanen25c308.25$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0627748.7%135 W · 142 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x582c…3266backed Timofey Skatov71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.694459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Timofey Skatov80c280$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Otto Virtanen30c280$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.311,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Timofey Skatov68c272.8$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.347651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Timofey Skatov48c248.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4733256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Otto Virtanen21c247.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6332329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Timofey Skatov41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.937044.3%164 W · 206 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Otto Virtanen49c204.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.231,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Otto Virtanen29c203.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.811,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c7…c7a7backed Timofey Skatov40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12018551.4%95 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Timofey Skatov41c196.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.642,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Timofey Skatov54c191.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3125950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Otto Virtanen17c191.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7442546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Otto Virtanen37c188.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5718246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Otto Virtanen17c185.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7787741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Otto Virtanen41c180.7$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3595050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Timofey Skatov58c171$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.391,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Otto Virtanen66c165$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6512754.3%69 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Otto Virtanen8c160$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4793557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Otto Virtanen30c157.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1660452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Timofey Skatov50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7515039.3%59 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Otto Virtanen59c149.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.51,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Timofey Skatov77c143.71$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.622,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Timofey Skatov64c140.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6391754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Timofey Skatov39c140.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e6…4be3backed Timofey Skatov73c139.27$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4319347.2%91 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Timofey Skatov51c134.96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5617748%85 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Timofey Skatov45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.332,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Otto Virtanen16c126.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3315651.3%80 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Timofey Skatov45c117.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.783,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.