South American Leagues · resolved market
FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdf1c7ada1411660d43c2f2d2803099f79f2d85f7fead62c6b6489dd9b2dfad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 51c | 6,748$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.34 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 2,197$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 35c | 1,292$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 8c | 1,167$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.52 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 1,122$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.53 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 53c | 1,059$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.08 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 1,055$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.52 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Over | 49c | 609.47$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.83 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 53c | 335.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 7c | 296.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.95 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 7c | 272$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 239.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 43c | 231.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 51c | 206$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 46c | 181.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 51c | 145.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Over | 59c | 128.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 39c | 123.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 50c | 105.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Under | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283c…ba51backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 50c | 97.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 52c | 95.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 50c | 94.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Under | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 30c | 83.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 78.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Over | 59c | 76.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 42c | 70.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 56c | 62.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 60c | 57.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Over | 48c | 54.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 50c | 53.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 45c | 42.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 53c | 37.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 28.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…5199backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 73c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 48c | 22.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…e4d0backed Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5this page
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: FC Juárez O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: FC Juárez O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: FC Juárez O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.