South American Leagues · resolved market
FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf390e9d097b294aff2b012ff1675f9f3783d63b2aaa3baf6a58db009ba36a145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 54c | 7,238$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.34 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 29c | 5,130$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.97 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,413$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 1,224$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.68 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 1,011$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.73 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 68c | 444$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 415.19$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.33 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 64c | 159.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 64c | 159.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 146.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 41c | 141.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 32c | 140.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 48c | 119.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 13c | 111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 70c | 79.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 65c | 72.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 35c | 54.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 71c | 45.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 31c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 66c | 33.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 68c | 27.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Under | 68c | 21.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Over | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 63c | 16.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 71c | 15.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 68c | 15.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: FC Juárez O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: FC Juárez O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: FC Juárez O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.