TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Under46c63,460$29,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,066.931915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-70%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Over54c13,952$7,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,467.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over54c10,743$5,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,941.7819742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c7,276$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,311.718,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c5,783$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.195,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over54c4,507$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.2215045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over55c3,386$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.182,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under48c3,084$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.1419952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44034747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over52c2,510$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.9675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over55c2,500$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.081,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over54c2,007$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.651,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over54c2,005$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.186350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over68c1,673$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.293,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Under13c1,231$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.117843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.119244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under46c845.73$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.036243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under46c835.11$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.291,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over50c805$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.54346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27624053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over55c524.54$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.044040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under51c452.37$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7129037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9306…bc66backed Under47c381.72$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over53c358$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4931039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1549651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over54c327$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4272058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over59c322.52$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8612156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over55c306.52$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1333152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under46c299.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb1…e05ebacked Over54c290.74$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c285.49$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.331,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over58c281.01$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7846449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under46c275$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c272.11$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.731,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c210.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.792,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9228851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over55c196.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6418247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over54c194$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under34c170$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.935046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under46c164.75$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2417951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c161$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.061,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over56c130.3$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8966837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under49c119.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…8341backed Over56c119.64$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under49c114.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3260156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c111.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.991,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Over54c111.12$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.122458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe4…4841backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over54c95.35$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6250656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f1…df77backed Over54c94.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c93.47$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8125635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.594656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over54c87.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1215651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over54c79.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc4…4870backed Over47c73.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.772441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under45c68.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.323759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x149d…0ecfbacked Over54c68.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.311442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over54c67.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1827855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Over55c63.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.696768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c63.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.012,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc230…cf59backed Under31c58.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under42c56.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.736142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over54c52.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.337843.6%34 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over55c51.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.178760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8248547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9c…0f59backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1278756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under45c48.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9724855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under44c41.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0523044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4438…f659backed Under46c40.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.524850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over54c38.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6126465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under37c34.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9419437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under45c34.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.513256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over56c33.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.659852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Under45c31.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over59c31.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8724665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under48c31.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.992962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under46c30.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.879936.4%36 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under47c30.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.126065%39 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under46c29.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4514563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Over55c27.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.122050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Over56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under47c26.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under44c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.326744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c24.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.422,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over54c24.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0727549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over54c23.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0133365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over57c23.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1851750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Over54c23.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.722470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over53c22.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.519447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over54c22.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2227349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.