South American Leagues · resolved market
FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0245b14b0ba5e8adb834efec5fecad7f49d5cea9afbebc325b85b29a628d4b76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 1,034$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 61c | 904$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.56 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 39c | 738.63$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.74 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 70c | 356.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 214.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 149.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 136.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 36c | 110.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 36c | 108.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 40c | 99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 37c | 98.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 64c | 95.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 37c | 82.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 64c | 75.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 37c | 62.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 38c | 55.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 38c | 50.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 60c | 50.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 34c | 35.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…e38bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…11d7backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked No | 39c | 27.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…3c05backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Yes | 63c | 24.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 23.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 55c | 18.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Yes | 63c | 17.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: FC Juárez O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: FC Juárez O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: FC Juárez O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.