Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bali: Yusuke Takahashi vs Alexander Chang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39fdefe5fc3c8ecc65d97c7f1fe4d6395ac8da1f78e50e3bf7f0bd8ded9c9419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yusuke Takahashiof Yusuke Takahashi, Alexander Chang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alexander Chang | 46c | 10,690$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940.69 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yusuke Takahashi | 58c | 3,501$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.37 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 49c | 1,266$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.11 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yusuke Takahashi | 50c | 1,171$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.66 | 2,004 | 53.2%1,067 W · 937 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Yusuke Takahashi | 45c | 1,117$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.4 | 462 | 51.7%239 W · 223 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yusuke Takahashi | 59c | 1,096$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.53 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yusuke Takahashi | 47c | 770.8$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.29 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alexander Chang | 51c | 757.24$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.55 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Yusuke Takahashi | 61c | 707.59$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.59 | 1,011 | 41.4%419 W · 592 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…cf7cbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 66c | 583.39$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.35 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Yusuke Takahashi | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 478 | 58.4%279 W · 199 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 42c | 282.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.73 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Yusuke Takahashi | 42c | 281$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Alexander Chang | 27c | 270.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 229 | 30.6%70 W · 159 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 49c | 253.69$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yusuke Takahashi | 49c | 240.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexander Chang | 31c | 239.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yusuke Takahashi | 76c | 186.26$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Alexander Chang | 42c | 167.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Alexander Chang | 46c | 156.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yusuke Takahashi | 62c | 146.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Alexander Chang | 31c | 145.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Alexander Chang | 22c | 140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 327 | 54.4%178 W · 149 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Alexander Chang | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 454 | 57%259 W · 195 L | +27.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Yusuke Takahashi | 78c | 119.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 284 | 54.2%154 W · 130 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Yusuke Takahashi | 17c | 111.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…ba8bbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 18c | 106$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yusuke Takahashi | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 277 | 54.5%151 W · 126 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 70c | 97.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 639 | 65.9%421 W · 218 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yusuke Takahashi | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Alexander Chang | 49c | 83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alexander Chang | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yusuke Takahashi | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Yusuke Takahashi | 62c | 73.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alexander Chang | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Alexander Chang | 30c | 57.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,540 | 49.2%758 W · 782 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Yusuke Takahashi | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yusuke Takahashi | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 599 | 41.1%246 W · 353 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Alexander Chang | 39c | 47.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Yusuke Takahashi | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 278 | 52.5%146 W · 132 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 517 | 57.4%297 W · 220 L | +31.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Yusuke Takahashi | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alexander Chang | 53c | 28.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 39c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 499 | 57.5%287 W · 212 L | +29.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Alexander Chang | 54c | 23.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Alexander Chang | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed Yusuke Takahashi | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…e4d0backed Yusuke Takahashi | 69c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Yusuke Takahashi | 67c | 14.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.