Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will GKS GieKSa Katowice win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b9766428c6e5f304d0a087b45acfad187e287c57c4f525b8f527495f5f4ee30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 46c | 7,086$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.98 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 3,336$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.3 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 59c | 1,899$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,500$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 1,489$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.7 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 972.35$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.94 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed No | 45c | 753.81$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 41c | 731.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.05 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 58c | 600$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 58c | 597.75$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.06 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 58c | 374.58$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 41c | 357.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 325.7$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 36c | 269.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 42c | 249.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 56c | 242.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 230.95$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 37c | 198.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 51c | 192.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 60c | 185$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 62c | 181.35$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 59c | 170.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 59c | 166.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Yes | 59c | 159$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 139.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 48c | 137.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed No | 42c | 136.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 43c | 127.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 108.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 42c | 94.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 42c | 94.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 92.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 40c | 86.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 42c | 84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Yes | 60c | 81.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 14c | 78.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 77.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 28c | 63.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 61c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 42c | 59.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…d536backed No | 42c | 58.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Yes | 58c | 48.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 22c | 45.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 54c | 43.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 42c | 41.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 73c | 40.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…3082backed No | 39c | 40.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 59c | 38.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 46c | 36.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 61c | 36.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 59c | 36.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…b35ebacked No | 41c | 30.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed No | 43c | 27.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 41c | 27.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 40c | 26.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 42c | 26.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…ad1cbacked Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes | 60c | 25.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 48c | 22.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 60c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 61c | 19.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Yes | 60c | 18.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…e4d0backed Yes | 78c | 13.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GKS GieKSa Katowice win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MŠK Žilina end in a draw?No won
- Will MŠK Žilina win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.