TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$216,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe70…7533backed Over0c30,654$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under76c18,370$14,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,330.9320036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c15,469$8,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,928.522,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over32c14,620$4,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,736.298743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over40c13,917$5,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,556.373026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c11,717$3,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.595,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under61c3,854$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.3229037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Over36c3,741$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over37c3,713$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.1112646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1356…eb21backed Under15c3,457$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over30c3,453$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.853842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Over51c3,376$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.098763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9934747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Over30c2,494$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.196225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+118.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c2,330$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.941,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over57c2,317$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.2975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Under76c2,098$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.356339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over21c1,946$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.453,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfec…4c6cbacked Under1c1,826$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.751050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+973.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over32c1,573$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.4816864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9919963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over19c1,383$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.661,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under75c1,123$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.966232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over35c1,066$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.3314530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over65c1,051$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.798657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over12c1,040$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2911817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over29c1,017$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7951750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under23c904.86$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.597741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under34c888.88$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.6672350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over68c881.77$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.7510635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over75c874.68$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.1915768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over38c743.07$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9117440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Under20c609.63$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4810828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under30c555.47$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.4318426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over76c524.37$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.5221765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over76c524.37$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.5220665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over76c524.37$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.5224665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under22c414.1$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6816051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under61c407.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.788755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under66c385.48$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.82224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-93.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over49c318.29$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.029920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Over37c317.46$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.463040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Under49c279.86$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.738139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over58c278.57$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under40c233.43$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under55c198.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1419053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over60c189.91$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Over70c176.36$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.284934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over26c174$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.119050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under53c169$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.435547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over36c159$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.661,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over66c145.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.551963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under21c144.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over27c142.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over17c135.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.036142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under32c130$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.635240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under32c128.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4213856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Over78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over48c120.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3929047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under37c120$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.21844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over50c119.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.463737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over25c115.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over20c113.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over22c113.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5333152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over64c109.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1819711.2%22 W · 175 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under77c98.38$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6310766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Over36c87.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.434542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Over19c81.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2210458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over17c73.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4515045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over19c69.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.958,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under48c66.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6713850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under76c65.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.555834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9955…e803backed Over43c61.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over18c57.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4255946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under26c55.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.359740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Over36c52.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.981612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-70.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.510365%67 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Over49c49.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.226543.1%28 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over32c47.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.329641.7%40 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over28c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under70c45.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.584971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under80c41.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2517051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under64c41.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over79c31.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.157262.5%45 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Under80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.253100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under35c29.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.624963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x131a…e4d0backed Over56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Over63c23.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b4…88dfbacked Over49c22.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Under57c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Over66c15.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.022157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.