South American Leagues · resolved market
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71be7f70fe761c4d8f11b5bfd84aa54dca1090c46ede7a0c9cf78d2dcba94a4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed8c…c7b5backed Over | 38c | 4,157$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 2,186$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.76 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 2,100$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 39c | 2,020$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.4 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 38c | 1,982$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.53 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 8c | 1,841$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 61c | 1,621$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.09 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 1,229$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.78 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 62c | 1,212$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.41 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 39c | 965.36$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.87 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 39c | 965.36$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.87 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 930.21$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.73 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Under | 4c | 864.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 846.13$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 13c | 550$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 61c | 443.54$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.56 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 62c | 350$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 56c | 242.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 226$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 12c | 139.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 62c | 115$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 63c | 109.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Over | 39c | 96.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Under | 62c | 94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 61c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 62c | 60.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 37c | 59.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 61c | 49.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Over | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 39c | 39.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 40c | 39.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Under | 63c | 38.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 39c | 37.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 63c | 30.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 70c | 30.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Under | 62c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 39c | 26.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Under | 62c | 16.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5this page
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.