South American Leagues · resolved market
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefa743df0cfc4a9a4b66b8967234b87ea9cb523879d8a946ac5d22e00c3c72d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 40c | 3,127$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.11 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 60c | 1,483$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.33 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,007$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.67 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 48c | 972.25$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.65 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 818.04$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.16 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 62c | 529.39$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 392.87$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 40c | 238.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 60c | 57.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 48.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 40c | 39.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 60c | 38.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 60c | 32.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed No | 61c | 30.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 28.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed No | 57c | 22.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed No | 61c | 21.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.