MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x778330b60ade0c44ec17935334aa3414fb44d51b1362a88b4daad4c9d27ee0ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Mets | 55c | 188,890$103,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,889.46 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 77,777$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,777.35 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 26,002$11,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,300.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 19,455$10,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,332.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 15,553$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,554.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 14,914$6,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,352.04 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets | 10c | 13,800$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.91 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 47c | 11,034$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.6 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 7,942$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.14 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 13c | 4,349$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 3,356$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.8 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 24c | 3,329$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.04 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 18c | 3,322$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 20c | 3,302$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.57 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 3,110$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,485$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.86 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed New York Mets | 55c | 2,225$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.75 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Mets | 46c | 1,989$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.86 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 23c | 1,833$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.78 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8c…c7b5backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,781$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked New York Mets | 13c | 1,710$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 3c | 1,666$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,630$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.68 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 39c | 1,585$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.19 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,577$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.1 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed New York Mets | 4c | 1,523$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 40c | 1,268$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.9 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed New York Mets | 3c | 1,177$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 1,079$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.2 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce6…7732backed New York Mets | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked New York Mets | 2c | 993.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 55c | 979$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.45 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 21c | 947.53$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.16 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 50c | 927.8$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.3 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed New York Mets | 55c | 681.82$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…e0b4backed New York Mets | 53c | 670.4$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.87 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets | 41c | 641.67$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.85 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Miami Marlins | 77c | 640.99$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed New York Mets | 48c | 504.77$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 478.26$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 467.58$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.63 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Mets | 15c | 447.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 432$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 423.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.95 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 16c | 394.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 55c | 390$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 381.13$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 373.41$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed New York Mets | 56c | 346.36$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked New York Mets | 50c | 330.9$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Miami Marlins | 72c | 315.07$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked New York Mets | 56c | 312.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Mets | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 257$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked New York Mets | 43c | 253.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed New York Mets | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 244$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed New York Mets | 48c | 243.37$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 238.64$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked New York Mets | 56c | 234$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 556 | 58.1%323 W · 233 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…3439backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 233.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed New York Mets | 56c | 230$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed New York Mets | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 220$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed New York Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 195.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked New York Mets | 56c | 187.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked New York Mets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed New York Mets | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4e…8413backed New York Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 175.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 174.03$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked New York Mets | 14c | 167.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 166.76$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 156.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed New York Mets | 56c | 151.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed New York Mets | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed New York Mets | 50c | 141.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed New York Mets | 31c | 141.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Miami Marlins | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 129.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Miami Marlins | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…1fd0backed New York Mets | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.