Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa198d676d3f1b8da308f7d41975d9d396a2cbefe7f0283652fd3bdcfb36d4493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 62c | 43,353$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,353.2 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 22,328$7,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,324.72 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Falcons | 79c | 19,111$15,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.15 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 12,033$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.26 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 10,303$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.27 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 9,920$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.36 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 9,303$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.24 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons | 79c | 8,904$7,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.49 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Falcons | 63c | 7,397$4,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.72 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 6,083$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.83 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 4,723$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 4,605$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 4,086$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.77 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Falcons | 55c | 4,037$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.56 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 3,659$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.21 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 3,533$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.74 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons | 59c | 3,455$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.68 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Team Falcons | 64c | 3,159$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.74 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 3,134$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.72 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 2,625$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.6 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 2,011$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.08 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,968$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,772$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.74 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,700$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.08 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…22d9backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,443$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.07 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Falcons | 80c | 1,421$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.12 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 1,350$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.45 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 1,344$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.02 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 1,250$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,250$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,085$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.74 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Vici Gaming | 17c | 1,043$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 1,023$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.83 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 1,014$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 1,007$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.25 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons | 63c | 933.3$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.32 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 911.68$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e13…b01bbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 900$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 880.56$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.81 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 62c | 856.18$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.18 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 851$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.28 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 835.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed Team Falcons | 64c | 821.13$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.61 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Vici Gaming | 8c | 819.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Vici Gaming | 9c | 753.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Falcons | 64c | 749.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Team Falcons | 67c | 740.94$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.51 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 657.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 648.4$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Vici Gaming | 20c | 565.78$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Falcons | 62c | 559.07$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Team Falcons | 80c | 550$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Vici Gaming | 21c | 483.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 471.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…974bbacked Vici Gaming | 3c | 453.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 450$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 445$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 426.06$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.38 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Vici Gaming | 17c | 415.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Falcons | 72c | 400$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 399.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 22c | 390$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 360$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Team Falcons | 65c | 355.82$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 311.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Team Falcons | 56c | 304$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Team Falcons | 66c | 290.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 289.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 279.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.57 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 259.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Team Falcons | 64c | 247.2$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Falcons | 63c | 244.42$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Team Falcons | 64c | 239.06$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 223$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 206.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 205.13$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 61c | 203.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Vici Gaming | 19c | 200.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9845…9d6fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…7eb9backed Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Falcons | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…bf8ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.