Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x861122ba71223f0ab95faed19bfe3ed05256697eda06668754b0b41412e496b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 32,186$7,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,885.64 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 69c | 15,886$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885.54 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons | 62c | 7,297$4,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.67 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 69c | 6,879$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.48 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Falcons | 78c | 6,800$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.83 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 65c | 6,648$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.81 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 6,208$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.08 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 5,384$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.15 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 70c | 5,166$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.67 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 4,536$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.46 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Falcons | 71c | 4,207$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.72 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Falcons | 74c | 4,092$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.77 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 3,884$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.32 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 3,520$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.59 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 3,294$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.86 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 3,165$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.81 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Falcons | 71c | 3,053$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.6 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Falcons | 72c | 2,789$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.59 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 2,330$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.16 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 2,261$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.36 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 2,113$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.68 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 1,891$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.23 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,857$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.58 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,591$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.12 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 1,486$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.81 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,472$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.75 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,240$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,204$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.31 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,188$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.16 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,187$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.14 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,041$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.34 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Vici Gaming | 5c | 1,005$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 949.99$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 923.96$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.15 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 920.65$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.46 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 22c | 888$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 833.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.52 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 803.15$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 762.63$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 700$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Vici Gaming | 5c | 683.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Falcons | 70c | 619.04$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.4 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 599.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 557.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 499.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 467.72$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Team Falcons | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Team Falcons | 66c | 350$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 339.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 306.61$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 301.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming | 26c | 259.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Team Falcons | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Falcons | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Falcons | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Vici Gaming | 22c | 205.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 204.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 197.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 188.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 172.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Falcons | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…516bbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Falcons | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Team Falcons | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…662fbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 128$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 127.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 125.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 119$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 110.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 108.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Team Falcons | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Falcons | 70c | 96.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 86.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Team Falcons | 66c | 84.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vici Gaming | 24c | 81.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…b74fbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 81.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Team Falcons | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Team Falcons | 61c | 70.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Team Falcons | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…2f2abacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Falcons | 68c | 55.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…3d4cbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 50.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 49.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…05f4backed Team Falcons | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 39.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.