Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tianjin: Hanlei Lu vs Seongwoo Cho
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6e9a3fa6d32d66ed5fc9f217a11ae72f4b6d75b906e5338266645cc31a5fd56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanlei Luof Hanlei Lu, Seongwoo Cho
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Seongwoo Cho | 76c | 7,391$5,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.12 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hanlei Lu | 26c | 2,612$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.51 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hanlei Lu | 27c | 1,713$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.13 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Hanlei Lu | 19c | 1,170$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.38 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Hanlei Lu | 18c | 600$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Hanlei Lu | 40c | 463.4$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hanlei Lu | 24c | 255.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.1 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hanlei Lu | 14c | 169.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hanlei Lu | 45c | 167.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Hanlei Lu | 44c | 85.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Hanlei Lu | 27c | 83.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hanlei Lu | 26c | 76.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hanlei Lu | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Seongwoo Cho | 50c | 64.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hanlei Lu | 59c | 61.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Seongwoo Cho | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Hanlei Lu | 24c | 58.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Seongwoo Cho | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Hanlei Lu | 65c | 47.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Seongwoo Cho | 70c | 35.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Hanlei Lu | 36c | 33.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Seongwoo Cho | 56c | 18.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.