Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tianjin: Yihan Qu vs Michika Ozeki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb538be6f3abf339a3f0476b9ab83f95d61f4bfb1fb724b22d88e473d961d41b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yihan Quof Yihan Qu, Michika Ozeki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Michika Ozeki | 29c | 4,856$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.08 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yihan Qu | 69c | 2,300$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.55 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Michika Ozeki | 50c | 1,822$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.96 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yihan Qu | 50c | 1,779$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.1 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Yihan Qu | 66c | 351.12$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 625 | 57.6%360 W · 265 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yihan Qu | 55c | 337.11$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13f…343fbacked Yihan Qu | 74c | 254.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Michika Ozeki | 50c | 163.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…9a38backed Michika Ozeki | 36c | 161.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +56%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Michika Ozeki | 36c | 157.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Michika Ozeki | 45c | 114.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…55f8backed Michika Ozeki | 43c | 113.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Michika Ozeki | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yihan Qu | 57c | 98.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yihan Qu | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed Yihan Qu | 73c | 74.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Michika Ozeki | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yihan Qu | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Michika Ozeki | 41c | 31.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Michika Ozeki | 60c | 26.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…d8f0backed Yihan Qu | 62c | 26.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yihan Qu | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Yihan Qu | 72c | 22.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Yihan Qu | 76c | 21.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Yihan Qu | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 309 | 69.6%215 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yihan Qu | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…c1c8backed Yihan Qu | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yihan Qu | 57c | 17.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 363 | 39.4%143 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Yihan Qu | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.