Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Noah FA (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x775655429a4aab4caade6b5014ea787e0dc0511b1e9b54f89b5074cef5f7b2d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Zimbru Chişinăuof Noah FA, FC Zimbru Chişinău
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Noah FA | 56c | 1,518$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.39 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Noah FA | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked FC Zimbru Chişinău | 47c | 1,408$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.23 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked FC Zimbru Chişinău | 44c | 1,045$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.13 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Zimbru Chişinău | 42c | 909.88$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.99 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Noah FA | 58c | 781.34$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.37 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Zimbru Chişinău | 43c | 750.97$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.84 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FC Zimbru Chişinău | 44c | 663.86$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.41 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Noah FA | 53c | 587.77$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.52 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Noah FA | 55c | 543$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked FC Zimbru Chişinău | 45c | 510.83$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.96 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed FC Zimbru Chişinău | 46c | 499.72$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.85 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Noah FA | 53c | 205.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed FC Zimbru Chişinău | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Noah FA | 55c | 177.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Zimbru Chişinău | 42c | 161.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed FC Zimbru Chişinău | 47c | 103.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Noah FA | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked FC Zimbru Chişinău | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FC Zimbru Chişinău | 43c | 94.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Noah FA | 25c | 76.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed FC Zimbru Chişinău | 43c | 67.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked FC Zimbru Chişinău | 48c | 67.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Noah FA | 53c | 52.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Noah FA | 54c | 50.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Noah FA | 49c | 50.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Noah FA | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Noah FA | 54c | 49.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2c26backed FC Zimbru Chişinău | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +89%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Noah FA | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Noah FA | 52c | 33.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Noah FA | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Noah FA | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Noah FA (-1.5)this page
- Noah FA vs. FC Zimbru Chişinău: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Noah FA vs. FC Zimbru Chişinău: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Noah FA vs. FC Zimbru Chişinău: Noah FA O/U 2.5Under won
- Noah FA vs. FC Zimbru Chişinău: O/U 0.5Over won
- Noah FA vs. FC Zimbru Chişinău: O/U 1.5Over won
- Noah FA vs. FC Zimbru Chişinău: O/U 2.5Over won
- Noah FA vs. FC Zimbru Chişinău: O/U 3.5Under won
- Noah FA vs. FC Zimbru Chişinău: O/U 4.5Under won
- Noah FA vs. FC Zimbru Chişinău: O/U 5.5Under won
- Noah FA vs. FC Zimbru Chişinău: Team to AdvanceNoah FA won
- Spread: FC Zimbru Chişinău (-1.5)Noah FA won
- Spread: FC Zimbru Chişinău (-2.5)Noah FA won
- Spread: Noah FA (-2.5)FC Zimbru Chişinău won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.