Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda0464f4864a5770256f2085ffc3f2b62922d9c14150963db73fccde4cbade31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toshiki Karigyoof Ku Keon Kang, Toshiki Karigyo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Toshiki Karigyo | 62c | 10,000$6,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,816.04 | 352 | 44.6%157 W · 195 L | -20.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Toshiki Karigyo | 73c | 7,641$5,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.16 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ku Keon Kang | 35c | 6,821$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.87 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Ku Keon Kang | 38c | 2,850$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.91 | 1,143 | 46.4%530 W · 613 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Toshiki Karigyo | 55c | 2,102$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.24 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…81f8backed Ku Keon Kang | 57c | 1,424$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ku Keon Kang | 33c | 1,423$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.18 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ku Keon Kang | 46c | 1,282$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.17 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ku Keon Kang | 32c | 1,182$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.25 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf367…a5edbacked Ku Keon Kang | 22c | 1,108$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ku Keon Kang | 34c | 859.49$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ku Keon Kang | 44c | 738.8$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.68 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Toshiki Karigyo | 66c | 477.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.4 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ku Keon Kang | 35c | 434.7$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 924 | 48.7%450 W · 474 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Ku Keon Kang | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ku Keon Kang | 42c | 397.57$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ku Keon Kang | 41c | 392.46$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.24 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Ku Keon Kang | 50c | 381.77$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 618 | 57.8%357 W · 261 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Toshiki Karigyo | 49c | 366.54$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.95 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…dc0ebacked Ku Keon Kang | 32c | 353.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed Ku Keon Kang | 38c | 339.7$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Toshiki Karigyo | 45c | 279.22$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.67 | 383 | 59.8%229 W · 154 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Toshiki Karigyo | 70c | 273.57$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Ku Keon Kang | 41c | 253$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Toshiki Karigyo | 52c | 240.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Ku Keon Kang | 54c | 232.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ku Keon Kang | 45c | 225.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Ku Keon Kang | 27c | 210$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 557 | 53.7%299 W · 258 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ku Keon Kang | 30c | 203.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Ku Keon Kang | 34c | 203.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Toshiki Karigyo | 71c | 200.75$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 81 | 77.8%63 W · 18 L | +11.4wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Ku Keon Kang | 51c | 195$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,011 | 41.4%419 W · 592 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Ku Keon Kang | 59c | 168.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Ku Keon Kang | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Toshiki Karigyo | 56c | 138.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Ku Keon Kang | 55c | 137.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 380 | 47.1%179 W · 201 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ku Keon Kang | 46c | 131.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Ku Keon Kang | 62c | 127.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 352 | 58.2%205 W · 147 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13f…343fbacked Toshiki Karigyo | 71c | 123.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toshiki Karigyo | 47c | 119$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 2,004 | 53.2%1,067 W · 937 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Ku Keon Kang | 58c | 118.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Ku Keon Kang | 42c | 115.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Ku Keon Kang | 34c | 112.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toshiki Karigyo | 42c | 104.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Ku Keon Kang | 43c | 95.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Toshiki Karigyo | 49c | 91.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Ku Keon Kang | 33c | 86.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Toshiki Karigyo | 40c | 83.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Ku Keon Kang | 28c | 79.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Ku Keon Kang | 45c | 75.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 419 | 58.7%246 W · 173 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ku Keon Kang | 45c | 74.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Ku Keon Kang | 48c | 65.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Toshiki Karigyo | 57c | 63.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toshiki Karigyo | 72c | 61.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…4898backed Ku Keon Kang | 45c | 60.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Ku Keon Kang | 35c | 41.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 305 | 63.9%195 W · 110 L | +34.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Toshiki Karigyo | 52c | 38.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Ku Keon Kang | 36c | 37.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Ku Keon Kang | 31c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Toshiki Karigyo | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Toshiki Karigyo | 71c | 24.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Toshiki Karigyo | 71c | 24.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Toshiki Karigyo | 71c | 24.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a6adbacked Toshiki Karigyo | 71c | 24.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Ku Keon Kang | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Ku Keon Kang | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Toshiki Karigyo | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 316 | 54.4%172 W · 144 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…7cb1backed Toshiki Karigyo | 67c | 18.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked Toshiki Karigyo | 56c | 18.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.