Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Veljko Krstic vs Andrea De Marchi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x879f67293a19d640b41e0bbd211da09b5113ae5cb6b82ad92ba81c48548e15ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea De Marchiof Veljko Krstic, Andrea De Marchi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2978…b511backed Veljko Krstic | 22c | 13,299$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.59 | 440 | 32.7%144 W · 296 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Andrea De Marchi | 74c | 5,408$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.16 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Andrea De Marchi | 72c | 2,441$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.72 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…fedebacked Veljko Krstic | 9c | 878.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrea De Marchi | 75c | 644.41$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…e21ebacked Veljko Krstic | 16c | 615.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Veljko Krstic | 29c | 599.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Veljko Krstic | 4c | 524.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Veljko Krstic | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Veljko Krstic | 4c | 468.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Veljko Krstic | 16c | 293.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841a…c345backed Veljko Krstic | 9c | 249.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Veljko Krstic | 15c | 225$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Andrea De Marchi | 79c | 174.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 310 | 35.2%109 W · 201 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ad4dbacked Veljko Krstic | 9c | 131.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Veljko Krstic | 22c | 95.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Andrea De Marchi | 68c | 95.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Andrea De Marchi | 65c | 93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed Veljko Krstic | 20c | 88.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Veljko Krstic | 12c | 86.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…b68abacked Andrea De Marchi | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Andrea De Marchi | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Andrea De Marchi | 77c | 70.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Veljko Krstic | 21c | 66.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Veljko Krstic | 30c | 60.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…41b2backed Veljko Krstic | 27c | 52.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Veljko Krstic | 21c | 52.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…4cf2backed Andrea De Marchi | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +252.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6922…c302backed Andrea De Marchi | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Andrea De Marchi | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Andrea De Marchi | 68c | 27.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Andrea De Marchi | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Andrea De Marchi | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Andrea De Marchi | 79c | 16.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Andrea De Marchi | 75c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.