MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b1bb5ca14aa932987f2125561bf2cd6b999d4a5dca09e60c79b01d2229d4530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Arizona Diamondbacks, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 58,365$35,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,866.15 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 54,312$33,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,638.39 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 53,731$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,731.34 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 52,398$17,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,387.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 46,944$18,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,368.37 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 35,572$20,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,940.39 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 22,000$8,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,360 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…ead9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 19,685$8,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,070.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 18,418$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 17,316$10,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,970.83 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 16,485$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270.42 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 16,130$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.39 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 9,257$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.19 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 9,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 5,207$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 4,722$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.65 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 4,568$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.84 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.61 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 3,998$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.22 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 3,738$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.31 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.34 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 3,358$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.21 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 3,230$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,877$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 2,780$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.07 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 2,722$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.94 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 2,068$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 2,066$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.69 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 2,048$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.24 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 1,934$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,809$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.94 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,611$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,271$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.62 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 1,250$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.2 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,014$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.33 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 925.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 814.3$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.05 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 813$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.07 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 714.1$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.86 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 699$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.59 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 640$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 4c | 622.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 620$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 613.12$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.33 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 606$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 550$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 507.94$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 475.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 432.07$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.47 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 419.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 366.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 300.11$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 299.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 290$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 205.54$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 175$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 170.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…4245backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 162$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 154$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 150.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 150.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 146.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…26a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 143.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697c…0b87backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…acf3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 119.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 115.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…625cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 214 | 64%137 W · 77 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-5.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-6.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.