Tennis · resolved market
ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Wilson Leite
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab0b76a9f3aa7623fc3b7814330ee44e9dabd49845871eb340d3407208cd3a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santosof Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, Wilson Leite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wilson Leite | 29c | 6,271$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 60c | 2,520$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 77c | 1,166$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Wilson Leite | 30c | 234.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Wilson Leite | 19c | 182.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 75c | 156.05$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Wilson Leite | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 70c | 86.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Wilson Leite | 25c | 84.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 74c | 67.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Wilson Leite | 27c | 53.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 69c | 37.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 69c | 36.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 73c | 32.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…898ebacked Wilson Leite | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 69c | 14.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.