MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4122f6fab05642da45026ef43f6362bf934954b955d35e0f7d3b39ee02e5daf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 44c | 80,000$35,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,199.79 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 52c | 52,501$27,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,417.18 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 30,805$17,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,554.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 20,567$10,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,113.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 18,223$8,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,715.62 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 51c | 16,637$8,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,154.98 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 16,259$9,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,154.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 5,589$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.52 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 4,489$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.02 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 3,748$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 49c | 3,689$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.6 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Over | 56c | 3,106$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.64 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 56c | 2,646$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.33 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 2,597$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.16 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 2,084$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 49c | 1,812$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.88 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.7 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.61 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 56c | 1,756$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.69 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 1,746$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.17 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,700$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 45c | 1,589$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.63 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 51c | 1,563$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.64 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.06 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 1,149$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.42 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 53c | 1,018$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 56c | 892.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.83 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 844.47$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 56c | 805.25$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.31 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 57c | 798.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.71 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 58c | 789.3$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.04 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 56c | 775$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 56c | 759.32$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.1 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 56c | 759.32$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.1 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 672.91$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 56c | 535.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.69 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…dcbebacked Over | 56c | 521.7$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 49c | 427.07$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 52c | 402.31$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 50c | 313.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.16 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 56c | 307$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 62c | 304.39$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 29c | 268$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 39c | 244$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.84 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 5c | 200.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.02 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 199.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 173.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 26c | 167.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 56c | 166.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Under | 51c | 159.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…5c91backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…c92dbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 139$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 136$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 56c | 133$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 56c | 127.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 64c | 117.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 46c | 117.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 39c | 108.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 95.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 56c | 91.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 56c | 89.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 56c | 86.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 56c | 79.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Over | 57c | 77.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 47c | 76.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 56c | 71.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 56c | 58.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 56c | 58.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 56c | 58.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 56c | 58.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Over | 56c | 58.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5efd…a583backed Over | 56c | 52.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 15.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.