MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a44f52aeb84efa5af37d8287e423cd518498f687cf9e03d817a1c9772450034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 7,332$4,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.04 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 5,467$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.34 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 4,548$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 4,298$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.41 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 3,326$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.76 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 2,486$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 1,230$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.71 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 573.98$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.56 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 550.5$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.06 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 494$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 461.23$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.86 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 422.51$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.82 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 399$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 349.42$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.85 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 342$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 19c | 287.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 284.07$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.65 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 273$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 267.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 152.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 126.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 105.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 96.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 92.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 90.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 81.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 80.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 75.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Twins | 35c | 56.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 54.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 39.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 34.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 32.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 32.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 29.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 22.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 18.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 15.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.