TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Minnesota Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,867 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers49c2,021$992 inWon+$1,028.596,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins60c1,929$1,149 inLost-$1,148.98,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins64c1,077$686 inLost-$685.793,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins51c907.79$460 inLost-$460.244,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Detroit Tigers54c824.99$445 inWon+$379.52,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins62c743.08$463 inLost-$462.5812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Detroit Tigers39c610.58$235 inWon+$375.451,91153.1%1,014 W · 897 L+43.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers24c508.41$123 inWon+$385.422,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Detroit Tigers33c399$131 inWon+$268.1391252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins49c303.95$148 inLost-$148.1211,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Detroit Tigers49c301.42$148 inWon+$153.4259549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Detroit Tigers6c176.87$11 inWon+$166.2137444.4%166 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Detroit Tigers14c146.36$20 inWon+$126.3628639.2%112 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Minnesota Twins64c112.12$71 inLost-$71.2872655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Detroit Tigers53c101.83$54 inWon+$47.762,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Minnesota Twins62c100$62 inLost-$6225260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda54…b8a1backed Detroit Tigers56c97.17$54 inWon+$42.6928456.7%161 W · 123 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4023…5746backed Detroit Tigers14c81.31$12 inWon+$69.672147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Detroit Tigers51c74.11$38 inWon+$36.141,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers34c65.8$23 inWon+$43.26,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Detroit Tigers49c46.94$23 inWon+$23.8925260.7%153 W · 99 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Detroit Tigers49c45.88$23 inWon+$23.3621055.2%116 W · 94 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Detroit Tigers44c39.64$18 inWon+$22.1263954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Minnesota Twins71c33.69$24 inLost-$23.872,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Minnesota Twins43c24.62$11 inLost-$10.6470737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a8…9c50backed Minnesota Twins62c23.53$14 inLost-$14.56746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Minnesota Twins70c15.27$11 inLost-$10.6944651.6%230 W · 216 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.