TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff09…25ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.1
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Adrian Yanez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.74
UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Zachary Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Christian Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$5.51
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Shane Collins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$8.22
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$43.09
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$58.07
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Iwo Baraniewski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.23
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jordan Leavitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.51
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.35
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+209.3%+$65.43
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Cody Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$47.1
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$29
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Polyana Viana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.44
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$18.99
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.89
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$271.56
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.29
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.16
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Patricio Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$67.06
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Francisco Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.96
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Robert Ruchala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.66
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$358.96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$18.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+247.2%+$104.33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$30.94
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+361.8%+$336.47
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$20.58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96%+$70.34
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$10.77
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+316.6%+$381.34
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.28
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.73
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$71.54
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wangbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$14
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$57.45
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85%+$19.85
Credit One Charleston Open: Anna Bondar vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.09
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-61.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$4.55
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.65
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$11.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$219
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+276.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+276.7%+$33.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72%+$45.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+59.3%+$9.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+53.2%+$10.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.