MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39117f9e1235b78c0011abfac54c1ca554ad33aad616fbc3e43b0da6870ebdf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 12,971$5,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,286.17 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 57c | 10,939$6,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,235.37 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 56c | 8,312$4,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,654.93 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 55c | 8,000$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.77 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 4,238$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.89 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 48c | 3,609$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,773$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,513$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.11 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 48c | 1,034$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.36 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 1,007$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.01 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 924.24$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 47c | 817.49$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.88 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 57c | 551.63$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.91 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 44c | 530.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.35 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 480$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 459.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 43c | 299$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.43 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 254.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 64c | 236$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 49c | 196.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 49c | 194.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 49c | 189.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…037fbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 73c | 158$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Under | 49c | 155.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 155$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 44c | 155$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 148.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 48c | 124.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 43c | 119$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 118.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 48c | 111.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 44c | 107.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 49c | 100.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 100.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Under | 48c | 99.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Under | 48c | 99.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Under | 49c | 97.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Under | 49c | 97.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 93.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 87.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…626ebacked Over | 51c | 85.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…e223backed Under | 37c | 70.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…5da6backed Under | 57c | 57.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 45c | 55.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 48c | 48.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 42c | 47.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…e494backed Under | 45c | 42.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Under | 47c | 42.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 43c | 40.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…1bf1backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Over | 44c | 33.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed Over | 48c | 25.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 252 | 60.7%153 W · 99 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…7695backed Over | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 22.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 48c | 21.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Under | 48c | 21.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 18.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 22.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.