Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6a8d0049890b76f64b7eb4fdff20365fce2f8b481de2eac0ba4172f07149a36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof GLYPH, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed GLYPH | 47c | 3,193$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.58 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed GLYPH | 47c | 2,955$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.47 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed REKONIX | 54c | 2,849$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.22 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked GLYPH | 48c | 1,890$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.69 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 55c | 1,827$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.37 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 56c | 1,071$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.89 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GLYPH | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked GLYPH | 52c | 971.83$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.84 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX | 53c | 733.4$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.83 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed REKONIX | 50c | 605.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.68 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked GLYPH | 6c | 586.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked REKONIX | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 50c | 526.46$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.47 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked GLYPH | 49c | 525.09$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.43 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GLYPH | 44c | 494.36$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 52c | 475.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed REKONIX | 53c | 390.47$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed GLYPH | 13c | 342$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed REKONIX | 48c | 330$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.7 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed REKONIX | 60c | 259.29$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed GLYPH | 27c | 252.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked REKONIX | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 55c | 233.27$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH | 27c | 185.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed REKONIX | 76c | 180.82$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed REKONIX | 52c | 176.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 68c | 173.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed REKONIX | 46c | 138.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed REKONIX | 53c | 107.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed GLYPH | 48c | 94.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked GLYPH | 33c | 84.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GLYPH | 48c | 78.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed REKONIX | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed REKONIX | 53c | 67.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed REKONIX | 64c | 59.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed REKONIX | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed GLYPH | 48c | 47.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed REKONIX | 54c | 33.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…e494backed GLYPH | 50c | 30.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed GLYPH | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked REKONIX | 55c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked REKONIX | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed GLYPH | 47c | 22.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed REKONIX | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 4 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.