TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GLYPHof GLYPH, REKONIX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd525…1815backed REKONIX41c6,121$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.615740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked GLYPH57c4,903$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.051,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX42c4,567$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.5154246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX54c3,724$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked GLYPH61c3,358$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.5880256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed GLYPH50c2,995$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.4447646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GLYPH70c2,920$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.791,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed GLYPH73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.0837655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed GLYPH47c2,488$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.1331248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed REKONIX30c2,285$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.394346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX41c2,012$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.561,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked GLYPH72c2,009$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.1286659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked REKONIX37c1,684$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.1979859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX29c1,528$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.532,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked REKONIX29c1,320$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.6914343.4%62 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX41c1,269$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.121,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed REKONIX47c1,113$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.843528.6%10 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x15dd…11dbbacked GLYPH46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed GLYPH47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked GLYPH64c935.08$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.067361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked GLYPH50c930$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46537945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed REKONIX56c927.01$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.243151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed REKONIX47c846.12$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.621030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GLYPH48c786$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.651,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX39c764.54$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.522,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed GLYPH45c733.35$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.3418351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked GLYPH60c698.95$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.434151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f31…a362backed REKONIX45c691.24$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5416558.2%96 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked GLYPH48c687.68$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.061,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked GLYPH63c648.97$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0661456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed REKONIX26c632.05$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4512740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab27…0c65backed GLYPH65c548.37$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.373562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked REKONIX55c500$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.5117133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked GLYPH64c457.26$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9753139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed REKONIX42c452.7$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed GLYPH63c402.18$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.281,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX51c386.36$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.041,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked GLYPH57c383.88$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7848053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7900…3393backed GLYPH63c383.86$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.688457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc2b…cec3backed REKONIX56c352.48$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.394047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed REKONIX39c350.5$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9114048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed GLYPH60c340$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13632441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed GLYPH74c335.42$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2165647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked REKONIX39c312.64$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0510244.1%45 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12970052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked GLYPH56c290.12$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8556343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed REKONIX48c279.44$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.51,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked REKONIX21c276$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6628336.4%103 W · 180 L+1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GLYPH45c250$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed GLYPH73c230.9$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4255457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed REKONIX28c227$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.567546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed REKONIX51c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10140844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed GLYPH60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8025354.5%138 W · 115 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2495…28f5backed GLYPH70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609161.5%56 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056e…cd80backed GLYPH80c185.3$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.144151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed GLYPH45c181.04$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2918143.6%79 W · 102 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e38…b4cbbacked REKONIX51c180.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.953762.2%23 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX39c180.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3569033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed REKONIX46c172.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.942147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked REKONIX28c157.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4596245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked REKONIX36c149.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2217636.9%65 W · 111 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2edd…cf00backed GLYPH69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4061449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa672…6b31backed GLYPH72c139.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.452259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed GLYPH63c139.29$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.531566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked GLYPH51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2554648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed GLYPH65c136.81$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4525359.3%150 W · 103 L+15.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX36c128.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.421,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x926d…f416backed REKONIX26c110.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked GLYPH51c107$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4314454.2%78 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x392b…f9a5backed GLYPH48c102$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed REKONIX36c99.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.997733.8%26 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked REKONIX31c99.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.994450%22 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked REKONIX20c96.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.329240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed REKONIX53c95.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.838759.4%230 W · 157 L+26.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed REKONIX32c93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7621333.3%71 W · 142 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85b2…0ab9backed REKONIX56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507753.2%41 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked GLYPH58c86.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9430255.3%167 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked REKONIX31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6615536.1%56 W · 99 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed REKONIX31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6621748.8%106 W · 111 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf82b…5211backed REKONIX43c85.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.592917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed GLYPH62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.441455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4cbe…2237backed GLYPH63c79.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.474946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed REKONIX53c74.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6138244.5%170 W · 212 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed GLYPH59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed REKONIX36c68.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5672637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed REKONIX31c60.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8730250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked GLYPH67c59.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5922558.2%131 W · 94 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed GLYPH62c53.15$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2078516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed GLYPH64c46.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8316445.7%75 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked GLYPH57c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3547358.6%277 W · 196 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked GLYPH73c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1510561%64 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked REKONIX31c41.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.734337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked GLYPH55c41.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.454247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…eb73backed GLYPH50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed GLYPH78c39.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8452046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed REKONIX53c37.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019145.5%87 W · 104 L+13.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed REKONIX56c37.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112150.4%61 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa231…a91ebacked GLYPH58c37.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.532070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.