Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17e8cd9a7e3e07fa2d78a31f5ac670a56136c35f615b3e03aaee85c24b9e98cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof GLYPH, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GLYPH | 54c | 1,593$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed GLYPH | 29c | 1,365$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.26 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed REKONIX | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 69c | 959.25$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.85 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked GLYPH | 50c | 930$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked GLYPH | 26c | 784.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed REKONIX | 48c | 763.19$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.76 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed REKONIX | 66c | 659.86$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed GLYPH | 21c | 650.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 55c | 554.4$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.89 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed REKONIX | 56c | 533.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.43 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked REKONIX | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GLYPH | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed GLYPH | 15c | 450$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH | 52c | 444.35$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.06 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 61c | 424.38$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed REKONIX | 76c | 416.84$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked REKONIX | 50c | 400.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed REKONIX | 52c | 400.3$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed GLYPH | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked GLYPH | 30c | 340$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked GLYPH | 48c | 332.76$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed REKONIX | 79c | 259.15$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed GLYPH | 44c | 221.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked GLYPH | 30c | 196.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 68c | 194.51$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GLYPH | 33c | 193.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed GLYPH | 33c | 188.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 68c | 187.78$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed REKONIX | 60c | 165.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked GLYPH | 34c | 162$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked GLYPH | 29c | 154.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 62c | 132.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 68c | 131.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked GLYPH | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked GLYPH | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed REKONIX | 47c | 107.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed REKONIX | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked GLYPH | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…cd80backed GLYPH | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed GLYPH | 29c | 97.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed REKONIX | 51c | 97.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed REKONIX | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed GLYPH | 30c | 92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed REKONIX | 74c | 90.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed REKONIX | 49c | 83.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked REKONIX | 70c | 83.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed GLYPH | 33c | 81.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed REKONIX | 76c | 75.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed GLYPH | 23c | 64.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed REKONIX | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed REKONIX | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed GLYPH | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked GLYPH | 30c | 40.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed REKONIX | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked REKONIX | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82b…5211backed REKONIX | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked GLYPH | 46c | 36.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed REKONIX | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbe…2237backed GLYPH | 60c | 33.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed REKONIX | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked GLYPH | 57c | 26.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked GLYPH | 44c | 25.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked REKONIX | 64c | 20.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4c…87b0backed REKONIX | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…1316backed REKONIX | 70c | 14.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 3 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 4 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.