Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db54f0a3b6d96e0413ef74ea9720fd3e65bc3d26fb085a9fa4748084f11b07d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof GLYPH, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 50c | 4,954$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GLYPH | 63c | 3,805$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.64 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed GLYPH | 49c | 3,557$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.43 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed GLYPH | 53c | 2,849$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.46 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked REKONIX | 43c | 2,709$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.9 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GLYPH | 50c | 2,068$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.06 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed REKONIX | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed GLYPH | 50c | 1,474$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.55 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed GLYPH | 67c | 1,250$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.62 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 47c | 1,224$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.32 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REKONIX | 52c | 750$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed GLYPH | 68c | 497.22$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH | 54c | 427.48$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed REKONIX | 43c | 412.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 33c | 388.48$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked GLYPH | 58c | 354.89$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed GLYPH | 65c | 354.89$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 37c | 332.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed REKONIX | 52c | 328.71$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed GLYPH | 77c | 314.84$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed GLYPH | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked GLYPH | 69c | 280.74$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed GLYPH | 68c | 260.25$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GLYPH | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked GLYPH | 70c | 249.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked REKONIX | 40c | 228.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX | 21c | 208$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed REKONIX | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed GLYPH | 66c | 190.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GLYPH | 61c | 184.52$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed GLYPH | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed REKONIX | 53c | 154.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked GLYPH | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed GLYPH | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed REKONIX | 31c | 127$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked REKONIX | 35c | 124$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked REKONIX | 35c | 113$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked REKONIX | 21c | 107.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 30c | 105$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed REKONIX | 32c | 102.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed GLYPH | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed REKONIX | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 29c | 95.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed GLYPH | 55c | 90.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed REKONIX | 48c | 79.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked REKONIX | 31c | 52.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed REKONIX | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed GLYPH | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed GLYPH | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked GLYPH | 55c | 38.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed GLYPH | 53c | 35.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…d5dfbacked GLYPH | 49c | 30.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed GLYPH | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…d567backed GLYPH | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed REKONIX | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked GLYPH | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…a91ebacked GLYPH | 63c | 19.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 3 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.