Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b9d326d81b407fe98b5fa6aa2521098ed4fb91a134afbcc61281f303a80188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof L1ga Team, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 3,148$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.56 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…2d98backed L1ga Team | 43c | 1,940$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 1,528$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.04 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed L1ga Team | 38c | 1,500$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.39 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed L1ga Team | 45c | 1,166$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.57 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 28c | 1,154$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.47 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 1,064$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.66 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 1,008$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.16 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…d1f4backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 870$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 31c | 834.21$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed L1ga Team | 24c | 700$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed L1ga Team | 44c | 599.97$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed L1ga Team | 31c | 571.1$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 499.55$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed L1ga Team | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed L1ga Team | 65c | 305.41$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 269$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 266.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…5862backed L1ga Team | 24c | 255.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 196.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed L1ga Team | 31c | 181.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked L1ga Team | 35c | 155.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 142.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 130.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed L1ga Team | 24c | 126.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 114.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 112$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked L1ga Team | 24c | 98.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…8862backed L1ga Team | 38c | 83.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…6850backed L1ga Team | 32c | 77.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed L1ga Team | 17c | 64.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…bc65backed L1ga Team | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed L1ga Team | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 58.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5864backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked L1ga Team | 33c | 55.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed L1ga Team | 46c | 55.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 25c | 55.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed L1ga Team | 24c | 49.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed L1ga Team | 65c | 45.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 44.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 43.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 34.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked L1ga Team | 32c | 34.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…e494backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 33.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9195backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 27.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 26.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.