Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac418a2015e07ef4bed67e1ee8a79cc4d381b41b4786cb3748686556151a1b53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 5,685$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.05 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 2,292$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.08 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed L1ga Team | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.98 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 1,943$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.38 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 1,692$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.38 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked L1ga Team | 57c | 1,352$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.43 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Zero Tenacity | 8c | 1,280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 990.07$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.36 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed L1ga Team | 49c | 950$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.5 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 888.8$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.06 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 838.84$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.42 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 719.26$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.02 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed L1ga Team | 32c | 699.98$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 684.63$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.96 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 671.68$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.93 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 599.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.88 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 585.63$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.19 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 556.11$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.93 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed L1ga Team | 48c | 541.69$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.71 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed L1ga Team | 57c | 500$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.08 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked L1ga Team | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 467$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 455.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.72 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…2d98backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 410.1$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 302.44$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.38 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 301.63$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 293.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 72c | 276.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 247.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 237.95$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.67 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 204.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 202.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed L1ga Team | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 190.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 181.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 159.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 156.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…041bbacked Zero Tenacity | 26c | 147.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 108.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 103.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed L1ga Team | 60c | 99.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed L1ga Team | 51c | 98.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…3f31backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 88.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed L1ga Team | 40c | 72.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 70.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed L1ga Team | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 59.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed L1ga Team | 51c | 56.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 54.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed L1ga Team | 59c | 51.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 50.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed L1ga Team | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 48.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…6850backed L1ga Team | 48c | 45.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked L1ga Team | 36c | 35.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…a91ebacked L1ga Team | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 31.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked L1ga Team | 60c | 29.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed L1ga Team | 57c | 24.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 21.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 21.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed L1ga Team | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Zero Tenacity | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed L1ga Team | 64c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed L1ga Team | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.