Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Nande+4 (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7608a280be2b5d6952412f270f1905c26e95b0635f1ee4fe147b26229b289734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 4ikibamboniof 4ikibamboni, Nande+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nande+4 | 52c | 10,323$5,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.65 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nande+4 | 55c | 3,829$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.73 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 4ikibamboni | 49c | 1,696$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.54 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed 4ikibamboni | 59c | 1,676$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.99 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 4ikibamboni | 42c | 1,632$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.14 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 4ikibamboni | 47c | 1,492$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.51 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 4ikibamboni | 53c | 1,394$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.91 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 4ikibamboni | 46c | 1,386$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.14 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Nande+4 | 1c | 1,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed 4ikibamboni | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed 4ikibamboni | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Nande+4 | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 4ikibamboni | 55c | 918.33$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.22 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…2d98backed 4ikibamboni | 50c | 907$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed 4ikibamboni | 54c | 734.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.42 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 4ikibamboni | 44c | 662.59$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.26 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 4ikibamboni | 47c | 648.5$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.31 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nande+4 | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Nande+4 | 51c | 594.06$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.35 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 4ikibamboni | 45c | 542.32$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.29 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 4ikibamboni | 49c | 500$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.32 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…9187backed Nande+4 | 53c | 491.58$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…d109backed Nande+4 | 52c | 485.06$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed 4ikibamboni | 64c | 432.27$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Nande+4 | 35c | 409.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked 4ikibamboni | 63c | 407.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nande+4 | 45c | 407.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Nande+4 | 39c | 355$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…477bbacked 4ikibamboni | 67c | 306.1$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed 4ikibamboni | 53c | 305.76$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.83 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…e494backed Nande+4 | 52c | 299.11$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nande+4 | 36c | 298.28$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nande+4 | 45c | 248.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Nande+4 | 52c | 248.23$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…94edbacked 4ikibamboni | 53c | 237.57$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Nande+4 | 44c | 228.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Nande+4 | 34c | 194.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked 4ikibamboni | 63c | 183.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked 4ikibamboni | 57c | 176.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Nande+4 | 39c | 148.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Nande+4 | 57c | 133.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed 4ikibamboni | 46c | 120.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nande+4 | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Nande+4 | 43c | 108.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…f303backed Nande+4 | 73c | 100.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nande+4 | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Nande+4 | 50c | 88.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Nande+4 | 51c | 87.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nande+4 | 48c | 87.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed 4ikibamboni | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Nande+4 | 46c | 84.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…26c2backed 4ikibamboni | 58c | 81.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed 4ikibamboni | 63c | 79.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nande+4 | 38c | 72.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed 4ikibamboni | 70c | 72.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed 4ikibamboni | 69c | 69.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6b…16cbbacked Nande+4 | 45c | 66.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0474…fbd4backed Nande+4 | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…1501backed 4ikibamboni | 42c | 59.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…041bbacked 4ikibamboni | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed 4ikibamboni | 50c | 56.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 54.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed 4ikibamboni | 47c | 54.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed 4ikibamboni | 49c | 50.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nande+4 | 71c | 50.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nande+4 | 30c | 46.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Nande+4 | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Nande+4 | 39c | 44.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed 4ikibamboni | 65c | 41.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Nande+4 | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e6…cb9fbacked 4ikibamboni | 46c | 33.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…d613backed Nande+4 | 75c | 33.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed 4ikibamboni | 42c | 31.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed 4ikibamboni | 45c | 27.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nande+4 | 52c | 26.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…16e1backed Nande+4 | 71c | 25.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked 4ikibamboni | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 4ikibamboni | 69c | 24.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed 4ikibamboni | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked 4ikibamboni | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Nande+4 | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Nande+4 | 67c | 22.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed 4ikibamboni | 50c | 21.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nande+4 | 51c | 21.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xefc7…e4d4backed 4ikibamboni | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed 4ikibamboni | 54c | 18.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…1408backed 4ikibamboni | 68c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Nande+4 (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Nande+4 - Game 1 WinnerNande+4 won
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Nande+4 - Game 2 Winner4ikibamboni won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.