Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aaea883359213cd00b313d4ad0fe23351b6a3da621cd51bb9f18296e63dd2a1

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,033 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3a05…cd14backed Over	1c	2,700$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over	1c	2,250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	95	2.1%2 W · 93 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	39c	2,047$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	53c	1,614$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.33	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	57c	1,443$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.42	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	46c	1,408$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.43	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	8c	1,131$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.5	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	62c	1,121$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.69	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2e…e38cbacked Over	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	56c	847.93$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.57	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6597…895dbacked Over	48c	800$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	39c	757.92$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.19	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under	60c	546.78$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.71	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	39c	462.35$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.21	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Under	49c	450$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.5	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	62c	440.86$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.75	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	62c	432.23$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.42	414	51.4%213 W · 201 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under	56c	401$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.45	109	42.2%46 W · 63 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Over	38c	356$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.45	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	60c	339.55$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.61	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	33c	332.86$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.88	258	65.9%170 W · 88 L	+40.1wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over	33c	304.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.41	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	36c	277.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over	50c	258.92$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	283	26.1%74 W · 209 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	197	46.2%91 W · 106 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	53c	212.28$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.91	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over	35c	199.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	138	50.7%70 W · 68 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	37c	199.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.99	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	34c	196.6$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.62	289	64.4%186 W · 103 L	+42.6wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	61c	188.63$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.6	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Under	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over	53c	166.04$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Under	58c	165$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.55	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Under	62c	162.35$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.34	122	41%50 W · 72 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under	57c	139.42$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.42	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under	73c	136.05$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.06	399	33.1%132 W · 267 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	61c	134.85$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.59	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	335	44.5%149 W · 186 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Under	46c	119$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.26	150	59.3%89 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…3691backed Under	72c	110.68$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.68	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	33c	109.42$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	356	58.7%209 W · 147 L	+35.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+28%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	379	50.1%190 W · 189 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	504	50.2%253 W · 251 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Over	40c	99.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	47c	98.53$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.22	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over	32c	93.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.09	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+19.7wins	+0.16per pick	40cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	36c	92$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.25	258	48.4%125 W · 133 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca09…d50ebacked Under	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe62f…fca5backed Over	36c	83.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Under	61c	80$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	300	40.3%121 W · 179 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under	63c	80$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.6	183	71%130 W · 53 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Under	56c	78.67$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.51	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under	58c	77.32$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.61	414	44.9%186 W · 228 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	59c	75.99$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.09	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ce…e232backed Under	55c	74.55$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.55	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over	38c	71.87$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.31	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under	70c	71.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	347	31.1%108 W · 239 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	56c	64.7$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	55c	63.64$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over	34c	63.32$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+34.7wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+61%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	64c	55$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	418	57.9%242 W · 176 L	+14.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	256	39.1%100 W · 156 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0766…77dcbacked Over	40c	53.6$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Over	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	27c	52$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	221	53.4%118 W · 103 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over	39c	50.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.57	237	43.9%104 W · 133 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	50c	49.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	64c	48.11$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.32	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	60c	43.29$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.32	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	60c	42.53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.2	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under	61c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	166	59.6%99 W · 67 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Over	42c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	137	45.3%62 W · 75 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	72c	35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	42c	34.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.48	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	60c	33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	370	57.3%212 W · 158 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under	61c	32.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.66	201	54.7%110 W · 91 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	40c	26.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.79	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	195	40%78 W · 117 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over	57c	23.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under	61c	22.03$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.68	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce0e…ab62backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xec83…7014backed Under	61c	18.03$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	154	47.4%73 W · 81 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d4…c002backed Under	63c	17.46$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.46	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-3.6wins	-0.18per pick	63cpaid	-29%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 2.5this page
Iraq vs. Venezuela: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Iraq vs. Venezuela: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 0.5Over won
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 1.5Over won
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 3.5Under won
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 4.5Under won
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 5.5Under won
Iraq vs. Venezuela: Venezuela O/U 0.5Over won
Spread: Venezuela (-1.5)Venezuela won
Spread: Venezuela (-2.5)Iraq won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event