Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3946bf25b1e62ecb84d70b3df63f230a1b15928a13a4709e046e8c1f3f2d32dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 3,091$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.13 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 2,740$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.84 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.81 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 1,076$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.18 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 64c | 835.33$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.78 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Over | 71c | 830.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.99 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 64c | 719.98$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.19 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 693.81$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.87 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 35c | 565.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Over | 71c | 394.37$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 54c | 322.22$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 70c | 289.76$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 77c | 286.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over | 53c | 266.62$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 66c | 234.7$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 64c | 199.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 29c | 199.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 22c | 169$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 56c | 114.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Over | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 96.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb67f…e6e4backed Over | 65c | 93.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 64c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 49.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 33c | 42.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 56c | 42.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 38.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 36c | 32.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 33c | 31.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 29.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…d072backed Over | 60c | 27.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 65c | 27.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 74c | 24.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…8285backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 64c | 17.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 1.5this page
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 3.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 4.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 5.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: Venezuela O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Venezuela (-1.5)Venezuela won
- Spread: Venezuela (-2.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.