Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2db7a18670ac4b44cae993283eb374b2e556f45c726da9801565859a4d745d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 20c | 7,887$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.48 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 3,332$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.87 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 21c | 2,062$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.81 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 20c | 1,960$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 21c | 1,250$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.06 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 24c | 1,097$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.18 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 80c | 1,066$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.51 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 79c | 839.24$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 79c | 750$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 79c | 747.22$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 80c | 562.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…612fbacked Under | 70c | 435.93$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 80c | 337.35$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 79c | 316$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 80c | 266.66$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 80c | 265.01$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 74c | 154$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…63a1backed Under | 80c | 142$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 13c | 115.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Over | 15c | 100.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 15c | 100.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 80c | 61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 19c | 59.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 76c | 40.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 3.5this page
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 4.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 5.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: Venezuela O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Venezuela (-1.5)Venezuela won
- Spread: Venezuela (-2.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.