Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Venezuela: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf158892b02c16685d703ca75b74f65f795316f496d2422d1b0d1480a6d3e37ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 53c | 1,991$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.14 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,957$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.74 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,779$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 1,489$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.21 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…714cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,025$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.69 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 45c | 984.94$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.22 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed No | 59c | 854.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.09 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 757.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.16 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 52c | 489.33$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.64 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 44c | 485.86$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.78 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 56c | 450.14$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.06 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 46c | 288.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 49c | 139.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4f8ebacked Yes | 49c | 107.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 36c | 107.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Yes | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 55c | 91.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked No | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…4288backed Yes | 44c | 80.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 40c | 72.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed No | 54c | 53.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Yes | 44c | 51.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 58c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…6f82backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 37c | 41.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 49c | 40.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 48c | 40.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Yes | 38c | 40.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes | 49c | 38.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…ad22backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 31.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 51c | 30.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…c046backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…1829backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…e566backed No | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 3.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 4.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 5.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Venezuela: Venezuela O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Venezuela (-1.5)Venezuela won
- Spread: Venezuela (-2.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.