NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9667aaade91c1eb7c64a7e214c517c5958abee81a4072f7bd31af71566b6f8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,485 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 48c | 10,208$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 8,584$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 48c | 4,113$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.24 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ed78backed Over | 48c | 4,104$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 52c | 3,908$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 3,700$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.49 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…346fbacked Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -61%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 48c | 1,548$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 1,347$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 49c | 857.14$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 840.22$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 48c | 803.13$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.4 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…21f2backed Under | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…895dbacked Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 600$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 49c | 400.58$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Over | 48c | 224.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 194.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 47c | 156.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 48c | 133.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 52c | 108.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 106.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 104.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 52c | 104$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 53c | 98.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 67.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 63.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…e158backed Under | 51c | 58.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 53c | 44.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over | 47c | 42.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Under | 53c | 37.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 52c | 35.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Under | 54c | 27.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 47c | 27.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 52c | 26.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Under | 52c | 19.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. Trail BlazersHornets won
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.