TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Hornets, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,913 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers48c79,807$38,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,430.5487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets52c59,848$31,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,113.184,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets52c10,337$5,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,325.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers49c4,117$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.091,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Trail Blazers48c2,828$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.5366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets52c2,543$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets50c2,002$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0011,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets51c1,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.152,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Hornets54c1,578$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85233447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Hornets53c1,289$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68940451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets53c1,133$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.492,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers46c1,131$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.876,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Hornets53c1,084$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.5545151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Hornets52c1,028$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.5654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Hornets52c827.17$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.8123348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hornets52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31245647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hornets53c509$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.771,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets51c429.26$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.922,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Trail Blazers47c407.86$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.1712045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets52c407.65$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.943,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbb…45acbacked Hornets53c377.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Hornets54c370.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011754.7%64 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers47c367.47$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.263,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Hornets49c329$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2128751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Trail Blazers47c299.44$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Hornets54c296.4$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16015857%90 W · 68 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hornets55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets29c204$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.161,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Hornets54c203.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Trail Blazers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Hornets53c199.97$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9822850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x740d…f9f3backed Hornets54c185.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Hornets53c177.84$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.171,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hornets53c151.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Trail Blazers47c150$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Hornets52c146$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.86741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Hornets49c142.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6420147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Trail Blazers46c141.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2515752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Hornets54c129.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Hornets54c125.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6823143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Hornets52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.431947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Hornets55c119.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7912151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Hornets54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Hornets55c106.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3245452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hornets49c104.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5537850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Hornets54c100.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5417342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Hornets54c100.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5440541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hornets51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Hornets52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5214151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Hornets54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.938464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Hornets53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0914046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers49c98.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.261,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Hornets57c97.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.681,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets53c94.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Hornets54c92.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Hornets52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hornets53c70.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.152,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb59c…e944backed Hornets53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.14447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x436c…5fbdbacked Hornets29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hornets54c63.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Hornets54c55.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Trail Blazers47c54.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Trail Blazers48c48.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Hornets54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Trail Blazers48c41.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.757452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Hornets52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9612841.4%53 W · 75 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Trail Blazers48c38.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7329645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2db5…8a96backed Hornets53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Hornets54c37.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013947.5%66 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Hornets54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hornets54c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers54c36.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.723,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc40…abd3backed Trail Blazers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.093956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Hornets54c33.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1825150.6%127 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers47c31.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.582,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…2da7backed Trail Blazers49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Hornets53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8787950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Hornets53c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3112331.7%39 W · 84 L-17.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa92f…58b4backed Hornets54c26.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Hornets54c25.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b16…1290backed Hornets52c23.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Hornets53c21.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers56c20.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.193,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c4c…b7b8backed Hornets54c20.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115054%81 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Hornets74c20.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Hornets51c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.37153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.