NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e73480f2b8f92cfce8efbc4298a8242170fcf1892a803b8186c80cef578f2e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,160 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,249.96 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 7,010$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 6,097$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 47c | 6,068$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.37 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 4,244$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.32 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 53c | 2,500$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.43 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 1,967$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 49c | 1,214$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,154$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.56 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 52c | 1,018$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.36 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 996.99$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.33 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 47c | 902.08$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.12 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 849.32$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 47c | 757.21$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.27 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 487.42$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 44c | 448.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.15 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 377.55$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 47c | 299.72$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 286.77$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 77c | 259.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 4c | 255$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 58c | 186.51$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 47c | 162.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 58c | 161.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 52c | 152.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 57c | 137$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 39c | 132.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 128.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Over | 41c | 122.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 215 | 57.7%124 W · 91 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 57c | 117.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 20c | 114$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 52c | 109.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 99.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 52c | 89.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 63c | 88.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 78.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 76.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 53c | 76.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 48c | 76.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 54c | 74.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 53c | 66.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 61.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 47c | 53.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 53c | 50.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…21f2backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…895dbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 47.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under | 47c | 39.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 28c | 37.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | -18.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 51c | 37.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Over | 54c | 37.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Over | 54c | 37.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 54c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 49c | 31.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 78c | 28.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…c77bbacked Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. Trail BlazersHornets won
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.