NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02a9da116a6ac443a4793b7c7a299922ad58c66f8a18068335431ebd5ebbb4c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,889 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 2,219$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 32c | 1,245$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.3 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.24 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 45c | 998$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.24 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 820$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.6 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 55c | 807.38$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.51 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Under | 55c | 730$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 602$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.92 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 51c | 437.06$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.9 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 435.26$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.36 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 420.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 27c | 273.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 45c | 246.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 49c | 236.37$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Under | 51c | 196.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 56c | 178.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 11c | 156.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 56c | 156.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 63c | 115.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 54c | 104.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 56c | 101.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 19c | 97.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 90.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 90.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 56c | 89.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 54c | 78.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976b…cf45backed Under | 75c | 77.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 20c | 69.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 67.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 26c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 55c | 65.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over | 47c | 64.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 56c | 59.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 55c | 55.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 46c | 54.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Under | 74c | 51.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 45c | 51.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 47.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…21f2backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 44.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Over | 69c | 41.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…895dbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 35.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 50c | 34.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 32.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 46c | 28.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec00…6a4dbacked Under | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ef…7045backed Under | 61c | 24.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. Trail BlazersHornets won
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.