TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,593 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Over50c35,547$17,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,897.821,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c24,527$12,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,339.574,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c16,250$7,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,271.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over52c16,099$8,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3404535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.65750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c8,430$4,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,261.92,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c4,601$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.0521653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c4,213$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.6470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c4,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.081,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d83…e56abacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c3,999$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.412,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c3,600$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.444,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over51c3,480$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.841553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under50c2,610$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.0765750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under50c2,539$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.517550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c2,340$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over52c1,463$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c1,384$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c1,300$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0260…5f72backed Under50c857.2$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.61070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c850$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.1361740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c799.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c731$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.811,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under49c639.87$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.8523348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fdc…03f0backed Under50c397.96$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c396.04$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.723,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4035…8363backed Over51c394.1$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe170…afacbacked Over51c362.91$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c300.02$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.813,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under50c292$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14625452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Over51c282.48$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8810556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under72c277.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c257.18$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed Over58c243.22$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.072638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under51c203.49$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7117960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10222453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over51c196.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.281,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c196.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over49c178$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2215543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over6c162.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2324138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under51c160.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7849246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c148.84$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.321,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under50c147.12$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8639943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under50c103.97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.881,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Over49c102.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5214151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over51c98.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c89.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under49c73.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5215752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c73.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.952,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Under51c59.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.417148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over51c58.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.725651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under50c53.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8264844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under58c52.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under49c50.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9214046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c50.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.567248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee82…1965backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256665.2%43 W · 23 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.58145.7%37 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under52c48.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.174240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc00c…ddc2backed Over52c48.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over51c47.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2431955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over54c47.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.533,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over60c46.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5645452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fae…c000backed Over57c44.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.992152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Under50c40.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0813947.5%66 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c2…cf66backed Under50c40.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.085841.4%24 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5648255%265 W · 217 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over51c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.420144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over51c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5876552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over50c33.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.920949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under43c33.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.175,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513852.9%73 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under51c27.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4534854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under50c25.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5552552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c23.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7460945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Under49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.719760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under49c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4191746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5037…a863backed Over49c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…ea80backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda0d…7132backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.185451.9%28 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.