Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc60ceda7d2175d8129298c9e5d7298c836e0d65e38a9554eb2028a3065c25987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 21c | 2,239$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.38 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,974$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.37 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 645.02$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.81 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…895dbacked Yes | 45c | 580.32$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 399.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.63 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 18c | 299.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 78c | 209$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 55c | 200.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 41c | 185.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 90.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 53c | 73.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 25c | 57.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 48c | 50.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Yes | 51c | 39.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…a3a2backed No | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed No | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 49c | 29.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 36c | 29.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 64c | 19.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked No | 77c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.