Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Santa Clara Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d6eaf6b4caf2699d355916509bba6dfcd58015b8ed7c4b9a74a4f612ef3573a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, Santa Clara Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Saint Louis Billikens | 55c | 3,762$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.9 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Santa Clara Broncos | 64c | 3,069$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.78 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 35c | 2,383$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Santa Clara Broncos | 49c | 1,849$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.84 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Saint Louis Billikens | 37c | 1,465$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.2 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Santa Clara Broncos | 74c | 1,444$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 1,397$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.57 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Santa Clara Broncos | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Louis Billikens | 40c | 974.23$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Santa Clara Broncos | 69c | 725.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 46c | 612.36$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 55c | 544.39$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.86 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 535.17$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.09 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 54c | 322.51$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.83 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 49c | 300.32$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.33 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Santa Clara Broncos | 63c | 296.17$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.43 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 279.11$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Saint Louis Billikens | 34c | 270$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 62c | 240$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Santa Clara Broncos | 61c | 230.74$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…8d0ebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 39c | 207.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Saint Louis Billikens | 28c | 187.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 185.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 76c | 184.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Saint Louis Billikens | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Louis Billikens | 33c | 170.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Santa Clara Broncos | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Santa Clara Broncos | 64c | 145$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 138.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Santa Clara Broncos | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…731cbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 54c | 100.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Saint Louis Billikens | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…968bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Santa Clara Broncos | 58c | 87.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 56c | 79.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…3e9fbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 68c | 74.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Santa Clara Broncos | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saint Louis Billikens | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 69c | 58.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…01f2backed Santa Clara Broncos | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…f2c5backed Saint Louis Billikens | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…895dbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Santa Clara Broncos | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Saint Louis Billikens | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Saint Louis Billikens | 54c | 34.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…cc10backed Santa Clara Broncos | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…81b2backed Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b18…7e98backed Santa Clara Broncos | 77c | 26.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…aa48backed Saint Louis Billikens | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…8b43backed Saint Louis Billikens | 54c | 23.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…0cbebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 63c | 20.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Santa Clara Broncosthis page
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.