TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Dark Passage vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dark Passageof Dark Passage, Bushido Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb5b…f243backed Dark Passage73c2,609$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.8270251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Bushido Wildcats25c1,886$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.4330147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dark Passage69c1,489$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.1494361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Dark Passage44c1,128$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.7128548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Bushido Wildcats28c911.23$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.18444%37 W · 47 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Bushido Wildcats27c719.61$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4536138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Bushido Wildcats56c714.2$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.951850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Bushido Wildcats28c563.08$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.691,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Bushido Wildcats57c514.05$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6524846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bushido Wildcats35c410.44$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8514533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Bushido Wildcats23c400.65$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0678562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Bushido Wildcats54c400$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21414959.7%89 W · 60 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Dark Passage71c352.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.115032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bushido Wildcats53c347.68$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2245033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bushido Wildcats50c336.71$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3661035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Bushido Wildcats33c334.01$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0917448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Bushido Wildcats34c333.81$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2416842.3%71 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe6b…b068backed Dark Passage45c247.12$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Bushido Wildcats34c217.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4927947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bushido Wildcats28c216.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.241,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bushido Wildcats15c180$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.431,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Bushido Wildcats32c171.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.926841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Bushido Wildcats38c146$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7941835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Bushido Wildcats37c145$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Bushido Wildcats34c127$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1834954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Bushido Wildcats34c125.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.142540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x382a…aab7backed Dark Passage47c109.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.213948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Bushido Wildcats39c98.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.543043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Bushido Wildcats33c98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7677929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Bushido Wildcats21c91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1126730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Bushido Wildcats33c83.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5824751.8%128 W · 119 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Bushido Wildcats25c82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3615754.1%85 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Bushido Wildcats54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.56756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Bushido Wildcats42c73.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8199846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Bushido Wildcats51c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2116345.4%74 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Bushido Wildcats53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.154344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x596f…14eabacked Dark Passage49c49.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.436841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e9…48dfbacked Bushido Wildcats54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba37…dedcbacked Bushido Wildcats47c39.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0737…fe78backed Bushido Wildcats46c37.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.081540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Bushido Wildcats54c34.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Dark Passage46c33.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.911258%65 W · 47 L+12.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Bushido Wildcats53c33.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5518651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…108dbacked Bushido Wildcats45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.580%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Dark Passage68c29.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4119661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Dark Passage45c23.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1343843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Bushido Wildcats53c21.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2815642.3%66 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc11…3636backed Dark Passage75c19.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.841163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Dark Passage65c17.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1723447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.