TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$735,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$760,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $735,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Devils52c102,146$53,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,115.6710349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stars50c45,310$22,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,841.661,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars49c41,009$20,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,797.431,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Stars48c31,551$15,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,409.4521755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Stars48c25,980$12,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,500.9826344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Devils51c20,529$10,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,469.8916656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Stars49c16,327$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,326.537844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Devils51c14,103$7,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,192.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1a…19e6backed Devils0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d74…1566backed Stars50c10,160$5,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ede…23bebacked Devils50c10,160$5,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,08010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Devils52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2006940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Devils51c9,081$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,618.5938844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x265e…dcb1backed Stars50c8,600$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,301366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4b…2410backed Devils51c8,500$4,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,33520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa02…d9ebbacked Devils52c7,500$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43fd…99a7backed Devils52c6,906$3,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,591.363647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Devils48c5,479$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.062955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…bfdfbacked Devils51c5,300$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Stars48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc874…b3fdbacked Stars49c4,600$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils50c4,228$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.561,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Devils48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92022150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Devils50c3,974$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.0327548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Stars48c3,888$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.7622546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27c9…2278backed Stars49c3,262$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.321752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Devils9c3,120$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6413241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Devils52c3,100$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61222946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Devils50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Devils36c2,992$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.7727143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Stars48c2,784$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.438450%42 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Devils50c2,760$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3808543.5%37 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Devils50c2,638$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.0954047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b2d…996bbacked Stars50c2,550$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Devils51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils48c2,473$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.261,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…ec97backed Devils51c2,295$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.551338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Stars48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09285250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Stars48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3355446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cd…206fbacked Stars49c2,061$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x960f…46cfbacked Stars53c2,061$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef3…ce62backed Stars49c2,050$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked Devils51c2,039$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.864344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Devils48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb498…64a0backed Stars48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Devils50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Stars50c1,998$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.151957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Stars48c1,986$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.737236.1%26 W · 46 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf90…fa89backed Stars48c1,800$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Stars49c1,655$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.891,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Stars48c1,640$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.817744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Stars49c1,592$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.8315954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Devils1c1,541$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.417450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stars49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.6143743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Devils51c1,528$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.2120751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa502…1b3bbacked Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4384…3807backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dd7…1c79backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8530…152bbacked Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac8…d6e9backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b15…889dbacked Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+60.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e38…dbe1backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x442c…9571backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c6…ad4dbacked Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0525…ecc5backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+88.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47ec…97fabacked Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05cd…8ee2backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c22…f8f1backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2daf…36e3backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+72.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f54…2d85backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6349…0992backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4270…2800backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+63.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f50…5af3backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6266…7f20backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb5…86b6backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa52…e2a3backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4972…f96dbacked Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dad…b9fcbacked Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…e862backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+60.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfcb…1f50backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedc…14c5backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd38…11e8backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2412…db1dbacked Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba02…578fbacked Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+76.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8631…06c2backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x030c…a8c9backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d22…6203backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebf…0979backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447f…ec91backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa238…6c55backed Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8eae…0eebbacked Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfa9…31eebacked Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bd…5a02backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb01…2a6ebacked Devils52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a1…ad09backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5462backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4519…2ec3backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2907…ef96backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd7…1a52backed Stars48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.24875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+63.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.