TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Devils: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Over55c155,154$86,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,034.441,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under45c123,797$55,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,626.688151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Under44c15,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Under45c5,585$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,071.754654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c4,990$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.262,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Under44c4,409$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.0424654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over57c4,180$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.122941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.981,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over57c3,362$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9093548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.1522546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over56c2,613$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.261,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37522150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Under45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.228541.2%35 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Over56c1,486$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83211354%61 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Under45c1,344$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.4410456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under45c1,300$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71511849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over56c1,275$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under44c1,251$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.4887447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c958.93$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.081,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c881.2$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.062,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under44c636.55$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.4730152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c0…e3d9backed Over56c629.26$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.662846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Under44c625$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Under44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33611254.5%61 W · 51 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under44c599.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.994938.8%19 W · 30 L-6.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under44c556.62$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.7169550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under44c552$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.1238844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011151.4%57 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over39c510$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19916241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19562951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Over58c457.9$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5814065.7%92 W · 48 L+13.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4453050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under43c444$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0849546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under47c399.32$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1720751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Over56c383.93$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2155240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1340…e38bbacked Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over56c308.93$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17328842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Over56c306.68$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1321454.2%116 W · 98 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over55c295.97$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.771,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Over49c265.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13015347.7%73 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over56c235$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.628549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5e…08adbacked Over52c224$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.44650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2212756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under44c211.75$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.581,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over56c188.88$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10678443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d20…9871backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca64…389abacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…ef6abacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.679758.8%57 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Over56c158.82$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9418159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over46c153$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.382,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8448046.9%225 W · 255 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74a7…69e4backed Over56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over56c147.15$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4749053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Over56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013644.9%61 W · 75 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5cc…6bb9backed Over56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over51c124$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2423249.1%114 W · 118 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Under45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Over37c110$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.15248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked Over56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…f52cbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5534653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd547…5ed7backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05dd…e2afbacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013751.1%70 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509357%53 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210955%60 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c22…43a0backed Over56c73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Over52c72.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9911353.1%60 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Over56c72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.329055.6%50 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020145.8%92 W · 109 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1bd…4f40backed Over56c71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6116552.7%87 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Over56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.219347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe973…f834backed Over56c69.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under45c63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.747944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f79…c16cbacked Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Over56c57.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.25742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd87b…946dbacked Under46c56.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.521346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57bd…f1c6backed Under45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f9…0732backed Over56c55.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under44c53.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2358346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e76…ee47backed Over57c52.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2859852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811447.4%54 W · 60 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.541847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Over56c48.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6567…8fe7backed Over56c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f2…1415backed Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.47052.9%37 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x114d…661fbacked Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under44c39.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3938551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb240…f788backed Under45c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.