Fifa International · resolved market
Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x072b7828ce4a1c4fa5fbec5961d75f5d5ba25e31dcccfb145d851ce2f835a4be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 29c | 2,041$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.89 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,931$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked Under | 69c | 1,394$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c1…1ee8backed Over | 27c | 1,380$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 32c | 1,256$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.41 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.4 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 73c | 929.03$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.98 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Under | 19c | 578.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 62c | 476$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.92 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 24c | 450$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 33c | 434.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 32c | 371$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 340.55$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.94 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 47c | 323.29$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 73c | 309.09$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.64 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 76c | 285.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.83 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 261.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.72 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 26c | 256.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over | 25c | 219.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 28c | 201.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 74c | 185.86$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 139.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 63c | 133$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 31c | 131.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 25c | 120.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 23c | 107.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 65c | 104.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…3a99backed Over | 28c | 101.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 47c | 99.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Over | 28c | 89.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 55c | 85.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 56c | 85.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2242…b319backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 76c | 65.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 73c | 64.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…c27abacked Over | 25c | 59.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…2d13backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +111%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 21c | 56.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Under | 76c | 56.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 76c | 55.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 51.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 69c | 51.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 69c | 49.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 69c | 49.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 69c | 49.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 69c | 49.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 69c | 49.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 69c | 49.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 49.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 69c | 47.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 69c | 47.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 45.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 67c | 44.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 75c | 38.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 69c | 36.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 74c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 70c | 33.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 60c | 26.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 74c | 26.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 80c | 17.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 66c | 17.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5this page
- Cyprus vs. Moldova: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Cyprus (-2.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Moldova (-1.5)Cyprus won
- Spread: Moldova (-2.5)Cyprus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.