TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd69d…fe68backed Under0c3,851$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick35cpaid+98.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under53c3,668$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.912441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over45c1,475$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.47955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c1,462$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.593,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under40c1,331$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.9329343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over50c1,131$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.933855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over48c1,036$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.6312254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c932.73$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.2936850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over60c900$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36015141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Under52c792.18$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over55c725.45$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.452138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under53c630.06$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.573,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.918032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under35c516$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.62441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under3c482.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4913059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over74c479.68$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.722,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over55c468.88$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2440736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over51c467.98$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.313,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c450$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2431,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under49c448.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207656.6%43 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c398.85$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.563,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over47c347.06$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.943342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0923736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under53c309.89$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.232855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.038734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under44c259.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3646536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c252.58$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.84,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over51c239$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.112,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1973…9fb5backed Over50c228$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cd…607ebacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Under36c164.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.666538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over49c163.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.463748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…f90dbacked Under53c163.15$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.472832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8520067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under52c135.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.548572.9%62 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over49c128.57$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.572744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over67c128.36$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.362638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over48c120.01$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.931,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…f401backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5530836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502975.9%22 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012537.6%47 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over57c96.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.618955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf30…2682backed Under53c95.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Under52c86.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c85.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.921,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under52c78.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7548147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under52c73.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.451687.5%14 W · 2 L+5.2wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+91.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Over44c70.45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7782340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Under50c66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313159.5%78 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over48c64.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.583860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under45c61.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5125554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under45c61.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5121953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under45c61.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5117158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under45c61.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5115448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under44c60.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7624653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under43c60.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.224751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under45c56.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.999351.6%48 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under45c56.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9917553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over48c52.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3510254.9%56 W · 46 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over58c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.425952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Under53c50.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252250%11 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over48c46.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1843653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Over48c41.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.86350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over48c41.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2410534.3%36 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Over57c35.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.121553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under44c35.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.533154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a9…a428backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.483655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over60c33.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.572958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2510868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5acf…b718backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x335f…2e1abacked Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c30.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.791,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a3…1701backed Over67c29.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.672958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…a862backed Over48c28.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.841050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.844,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over74c25.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.682348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7512454.8%68 W · 56 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2242…b319backed Over66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick31cpaid+50.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0722…fceebacked Over45c22.31$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2236329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over66c21.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2528964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under54c20.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.29666.7%64 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.47350.7%37 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Over58c18.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.892147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a3…121fbacked Over65c16.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.912161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.